Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COMP5692 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 46.013818 50.545326 55.639925 61.860646 69.349411 78.207640 89.690850
2025-06-22 39.401676 45.157382 52.138888 61.462475 73.983149 90.884808 116.813054
2025-06-29 35.158051 41.296196 49.085753 60.091836 76.001270 99.661424 141.349990
2025-07-06 31.806072 37.971814 46.038219 57.893274 75.978614 104.983032 162.525228
2025-07-13 30.655430 37.298605 46.308314 60.202949 82.911058 123.273904 219.155327
2025-07-20 29.485384 36.431542 46.136076 61.729329 88.830599 142.000675 295.994619
2025-07-27 28.398542 35.549792 45.799032 62.876202 94.289661 162.241879 409.600364
2025-08-03 27.093976 34.235430 44.661416 62.506615 96.795255 177.134301 541.520352
2025-08-10 25.709498 32.699220 43.037350 61.076562 96.868350 186.078793 679.401354
2025-08-17 24.451031 31.265646 41.453400 59.518450 96.355300 193.354536 851.009861
2025-08-24 23.427391 30.119055 40.232346 58.463863 96.720054 203.674336 1147.432388
2025-08-31 22.498929 29.062944 39.078908 57.402923 96.868026 213.649286 1615.626263
2025-09-07 22.258461 29.061221 39.669914 59.750300 105.768930 263.253131 8099.393169
2025-09-14 21.536086 28.278823 38.917750 59.434736 108.140751 290.473633 NaN
2025-09-21 20.704946 27.283241 37.738298 58.137901 107.669456 304.672808 NaN
2025-09-28 19.803473 26.137891 36.239329 56.056969 104.691121 303.932652 NaN
2025-10-05 19.672203 26.197725 36.799187 58.243008 114.184319 389.355423 NaN
2025-10-12 19.424314 26.055292 36.992704 59.685944 122.107475 489.971695 NaN
2025-10-19 19.135381 25.829759 37.019540 60.769219 129.377653 618.895802 NaN
2025-10-26 18.665302 25.285976 36.437393 60.420211 131.763433 710.606402 NaN
2025-11-02 18.088949 24.545235 35.457659 59.069030 130.272860 746.300203 NaN
2025-11-09 17.527869 23.811526 34.458512 57.595482 128.058740 767.796641 NaN
2025-11-16 17.058721 23.215604 33.687658 56.597311 127.447874 823.436889 NaN